Every month, I publish an answer to a reader’s question. Here’s a transcript of my answer to the reader question about the role of luck versus hard work:
How much of your success do you attribute to luck vs skill? Could your success be reasonably replicated by a hard-working person, or do the conditions not exist as much anymore?
Thank you for your question; it gave me something to reflect on and I’m happy to answer.
I’ve found an experiment that had the purpose to observe behaviors and whether they could be conditioned and controlled, and I think the results are fascinating. During World War ll, behaviorist B.F. Skinner performed an experiment called Project Pigeon, also known as Project Orcon. During this Harvard experiment, Skinner’s pigeons were trained to earn food by tapping a button so that they would learn to peck for a reward.
In the first set of experiments, the pigeons got food every time they pecked. In other arrangements, Skinner stopped giving them food as a reward, and in some instances, after the pigeon got food, the system stopped dispensing treats for, say, 60 seconds. Once the time passed, if the bird pecked, it received another reward. Skinner then varied the timing between the food rewards randomly.
The most interesting part of this experiment was that the most pecks were elicited by intermittently rewarding the behaviour with a random time interval before the reward appeared. Under these conditions where rewards were variable, the pigeons went bonkers – one bird pecked the glass 2.5 times a second for an unbelievable 16 hours, whilst another tapped 87,000 times over a day despite getting rewarded for the behaviour less than 1% of the time.
In other words, a random interval happened to be the strongest form of conditioning, compared to consistent time or number-related responses. In other words, the pigeons tried harder when they received rewards that were unpredictable.
I’m mentioning this because I think most careers, especially in the creative industries, are actually quite far from merit based. There are too many actors, directors, and other artists who all have the talent, credentials and work experience, yet the hours they put into it translate to very different work opportunities and paycheck.
So what explains the difference then, between the pigeon that gets the reward, versus the pigeon that pecked the door as many times but didn’t receive the reward? Or between you and everyone who went to the same school or grew up in the same neighbourhood or worked for the same company?
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Thank you for reading. This reader’s question is part of the Ask Me Anything series. I´d love to answer more of your interesting questions and get a sense of your interests. If you have questions to extend this Ask Me Anything section, please let me know. I like to hear from you. Send me your question via team@lisanneswart.com
Here is a list of the last 3 readers’ questions I’ve answered:
- Is there a motto or principle I live by?
- What, in my view, is the power of storytelling?
- If I could introduce a law that applies to everyone in the world what would it be?
» Explore more answers to thought-provoking questions
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